LA Angels Monday News Crash: Bracket

I’ll repost here what I posted last night – Bremner across the industry rankings.

D1 Baseball – 6
Fangraphs – 7
Baseball America – 11
Just Baseball – 13
Perfect Game – 15
The Athletic – 16
MLB Pipeline – 18
ESPN – 18

Can’t just cherrypick the lowest estimation.

This draft class was almost universally viewed as weak at the top but deep through the top 6-8 rounds, and prospect estimators restated again and again that there was little measurably separating the five college arms (Doyle, Anderson, Arnold, Bremner, Witherspoon) viewed as no doubt first rounders. Many stated that they would have ranked kids like Holliday and Willits in the 8-12 range in the 2024 draft class.

There was no no-doubt prospect at the top – there really wasn’t.

Angels avoided recency bias (Doyle, Anderson, Witherspoon) and went with the guy with the longer track record of success. Coming into Feb/March, Bremner was ranked #2 overall by Baseball America and D1 Baseball, and #4 overall by Perfect Game. As you can see above, he didn’t slide far in the revised rankings four months later.

If you really think he’s significantly worse than those ahead of him due to 3-4 outings in early spring, then that departs both from my view and from industry consensus.

If he regains the slider he had in 2024, he’s a guy with three 60 grade pitches and plus command – with one of those pitches (the change) as 70 or better. A 2/3 pitcher in a MLB rotation.