Fansince 1971 takes his shot – aka – Burn It Down and Watch a Phoenix Arise From the Ashes

Good morning/afternoon/evening inhabitants of CTPGs.

I want to start this with a couple of my own ground rules and limitations:

First, I am not an expert in this format and therefore I will lack the flashy photographs, graphs and charts of some of the other illustrious contributors. This will not be a fancy showpiece. But I will do my very best to get the information across with what I do know how to do and maybe the excellent editors of this site can help out a bit.

Second, I do not view this as a predictive piece where I try to guess what Perry will do. Instead, I view this as a statement of either (1) what Perry should do or (2) what I would do if I were Perry – or both. It is important to make this differentiation since what I propose is way bolder and long term focused than what Perry will do or Arte will allow.

Third, this article is likely to please some (few) and piss off many. Good. As you will see, I tear this sucker down and begin the rebuild for the future while still putting a serviceable team on the field for 2026 that will have its moments. There is likely to be an extended lockout in ’27 so I am building the Farm system to come out of that lockout younger, better and with more potential. Additionally, the AL West is extremely strong with the Mariners, Astros, Rangers and even A’s likely to be competing for the playoffs. I have too many holes to fill and budgetary restrictions and a mediocre free agent class. So, I am not looking to “compete” in ’26 but I also want the fans to have fun.

Fourth, rather than repeat what has gone before, I accept and will not repeat the prior analysis of our revered editor-in-chief Jeff Joiner with regard to non-tenders and the impact of trading Ward for Grayson Rodriguez. I therefore have $40 million with which to work.

Fifth – I am focused on trading the major league assets the Angels have that are actually tradable. There will be no Rendon or Trout trades here – it would take a lot of hits on the Hopium or Crack pipe to really believe that is possible. Instead, to build for the future, I have to trade the players on the major league roster who actually have value – regardless of whether they are fan favorites. That includes Neto (sorry). Emotional attachments to players are for fans, not for GMs. I am attempting to avoid trading any of the decent minor leaguers in the system since my goal is to build up the Farm as much as possible.

Sixth (and finally) – I am using the MLB Trade Value Sim and Fangraphs as my sources. I realize these are not perfect but, again, this is essentially a big simulation and those sites are as reliable as we can meaningfully get.

Okay – are you ready? Here we go….

First up the trades:

TRADE #1 Zach Neto (Trade Value 70.8) in a few different possible scenarios

To the Twins for: Walter Jenkins (OF – Trade Value 53.9 – Ranked 21 in Top 100) and either Aaelen Kulpepper (SS – Trade value 17.9 – Ranked 81 in Top 100) or Emanuel Rodriguez (OF – Trade value 24.3 – Ranked 43 in Top 100)

To the Brewers for: Cooper Pratt (SS – Trade value 28.6 – Ranked 61 in Top 100), Logan Henderson (RHP – Trade Value 29.9 – Ranked 83 in Top 100) and Luis Pena (SS – Trade value 6.9 – Ranked 19 in Top 100)

To the Tigers for: Max Clark (OF – Trade value 61.1 – Ranked 17 in Top 100) and Logan Briceno (1B – Trade Value 18.5 – Ranked 38th in Top 100)

To the Cardinals for: J.J. Wetherholt (SS – Trade Value 59.8 – Ranked 7 in Top 100) and Liam Doyle (LHP – Trade Value 29.9 – Ranked 37th in Top 100)

To the Orioles for: Samuel Basallo (1B – Trade Value 54.6 – Ranked 8 in Top 100), Dylan Beavers (OF – Trade Value 13.5 – Ranked 88th in Top 100) and Enrique Bradfield, Jr. (OF – Trade Value 9.3)

ANY of these trades immediately and greatly improve the Angels’ farm system to likely Top-15 status. Of these, I think I most like the Twins trade as I absolutely love Walter Jenkins. That said, the Orioles trade with Basallo being the long term solution at 1B also looks pretty great. You can choose your favorite but I would make any of these deals and happily (and sadly) say goodbye to Neto who has played great and has allowed me to build up the Farm of the future. Also, Neto is Arb eligible after 2026 and will be due for a big raise – I let that be someone else’s problem.

TRADE #2 Jose Soriano (Trade Value 41.1) and Jo Adell (Trade Value 13) to the Reds:

For Sal Stewart (2B/3B – Trade Value 14.6 – Ranked 31 in Top 100), Rhett Lowder (RHP Trade Value 19.7 – Ranked 69 in Top 100), Tyson Lewis (SS – Trade Value 11.6 – Ranked 85 in Top 100) and Cam Collier (1B/3B – Trade Value 9.3 – Ranked 91 in Top 100)

Or if the Neto deal to the Orioles does not happen then to the Orioles for Samuel Basallo (1B – Trade Value 54.6 – Ranked 8 in Top 100) and Dylan Beavers (OF – Trade Value 13.5 – Ranked 88 in Top 100)

TRADE #3 Nolan Schanuel (Trade value 30.2) and Christian Moore (Trade Value 20.4) to the Tigers:

For Bryce Rainer (SS – Trade Value 30 – Ranked 26 in Top 100) and Jose Briceno (1B – Trade value 18.5 – Ranked 38th in Top 100

If I can pull Trades #2 and #3 off (or anything similar) the Farm is moving into the Top 10 systems in baseball. It will be loaded with talent at key positions like SS, 1B and the Outfield to go along with the pitching prospects such as Bremner, Dana and Klassen.

Okay, now that I have traded off the tradable players of value within the MLB roster, I focus on some signings. It should be noted that by trading these players I have another approximately $7 million to play with bringing my total for free agents to $47 million.

So….how to invest the $47 million. My focus will be on short term deals especially with the lockout looming in 2027.

Free Agent Signing #1 – SS Isiah Kiner-Falefa – 1 year $6 million

This should secure SS for 2026 and allow the young talent in the Farm to continue to develop so that the Angels can emerge from the lockout with a rookie at the position.

Free Agent signing #2 – 1B Carlos Santana – 1 year $6 million

Again, this is a placeholder for 2026 but a pretty decent one who can provide some good moments and please the fans with a recognizable name.

Free Agent Signing #3 – 2B – one of the following: Luis Arias, Dylan Moore or Jose Inglesias – all predicted at 1 year and $4 million

This will add infield depth and, again, provide a placeholder for 2026. Of these, I would prefer Arias but could live with any of them.

Free Agent Signing #4 – 3B – Paul DeJong – 1 year $3 million

Infield depth and a place holder until we get through the 2027 lockout.

Free agent Signing #5 – OF – Mike Yastrzemski – 1 year $10 million

This is my favorite signing. Love this guy. He fits right into the outfield and provides some fun moments for 2026. He will be a fan favorite.

Free agent Signing #6 – OF – Randal Grichuk – 1 year $4 million

Grichuk comes home and will fit right into the mix. The 2009 1st round draft will be back on display again. Frankly, this is a placeholder but will provide some nice moments for the fans in 2026.

Free agent Signing #7 – Starting Pitcher Michael Lorenzen – 1 year $8 million

A serviceable pitcher to fit in with the starting staff while the kids continue to mature.

Free agent Signing #8 – Starting pitcher Aaron Civale – 1 year $8 million

See above – serviceable for 2026.

SUMMARY

I accomplished my goal of building up the Farm for whatever remains of the 2027 season and beyond. The Angels farm system is now likely a Top 10 with lots of positional and pitching talent developing to emerge like in the late 1990s and early 2000s. I spent $49 million (which is $2 million over budget) but if this is an issue then I can always back away from signing DeJong and save that $3 million.

I also will put a team on the field that will win probably 65-70 games which is in line with the last decade of performance. There will be some fun players – notably Yastrzemski who will be a fan favorite. My boss may not love me for another mediocre season, but he will love me in a few years (after I am likely long gone). And if things really go wrong, who knows, I may have another top-3 pick in the draft.

Finally, to all of you diehards who really believe that “this is our year” or some other mantra or opiate of the masses – wake up. This team has so many holes and problems and has no Farm to fix it. The value of the players who are traded herein are near or at their peak. As they get more expensive, their trade value will plummet. The Angels have missed trade opportunity after trade opportunity over the last five years to try and support the fallacy of “compete”. This tear down makes up for a lot of those missed opportunities to build the Farm (although the missed Ohtani opportunity cannot ever be made up for). The Angels are playing in a brutal division where each of the other 4 teams has a legitimate claim of being a playoff contender. No matter what happens, with the budgetary restrictions, this team is headed for 5th place in the Division in 2026.

So, let’s do something BOLD and look beyond the immediate horizon to a time where the Angels farm supplies quality position players and pitchers and we build something great here. Like the mighty Phoenix arising from the ashes!

Photo credit: Rex Fregosi

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Kevin
Trusted Member
2 hours ago

Congrats. You just created an expansion franchise. The only players the Halos might hope for are now gone via your moves. Everything is now based on hot prospects.

As to the rest, if you are doing the above, why sign two old vets like Kiner-Falafa and Santana that are marginal at best. What’s the point of that?

Same with Grichuk? Are you trying to put lipstick on the pig? Same with a few of the other moves?

If they are going with a young team, then go with a young team.

Turk's Teeth
Editor
Super Member
2 hours ago

It’s interesting to contemplate these prospect exchanges.

I think the Reds would value that package of prospects more than Adell/Soriano, personally – I believe they’re (rightly) high on Stewart in particular. The return from Baltimore in the same package I don’t really love, tbh – any trade that sends our a controllable 2/3 pitcher should bring back a couple of projectable arms, imo.

I’m skeptical that the Tigers would find Schanuel an upgrade over Torkelson, and I think McGonigle and Max Anderson are more in their infield plans than Moore would be. Rainer is such a long horizon play for the Angels as well.

Some of these Neto exchanges might play, but he’s an affordable 4-5 WAR player that they control for four years. The Twins trade is tempting, but the others seems to carry a lot of risk, and aren’t slam dunks for me. Neto’s the player I’m least eager to move.

In general, in a teardown, I’d like to see more pitching coming back, because ownership has little appetite for pitching in free agency, and teams that go far in the playoffs tend to have rotation depth and frontline weapons.

Awungsauce
Member
3 hours ago

Besides the zero chance that this ever happens, this is such a high-risk gamble.

First, you’re killing your reputation with future free agents by blatantly throwing away a season of Mike Trout, who still has a huge reputation around the league. No big name free agent would want to sign with a team that treated their star like this.

Second, you’re trading current young MLB talent for potential prospects, with no guarantee of success. Remember Dallas McPherson? Brandon Wood? Kaleb Cowart? I have no faith in this farm system to develop talent, especially when the top coaches are already promoted to the bigs. We could end up with a worse team at the end of the day.

Third, this team completely throws away this year. We’re looking at another season trying not to get 100 losses. All of the signings are low upside and have below replacement downside, but the biggest problem isn’t even the record. There’s no young player at the MLB level that this team would be trying to develop. There’s placeholders blocking every position and all the good young MLB talent was traded away. All the prospects would still be in the minors for another year. We’d be better off not even having a MLB team at this point.

Lastly, this makes the team irrelevant for the next 2-3 years after this year also. 2026 was never the year, but with Rendon’s contract off the books, a playoff push in 2027 and 2028 was possible. With these trades, you push off the window to 2030 or 2031. No free agents would want to sign here anymore.

The hope is that this collection of young prospects turns into something like the Orioles or Blue Jays, except that the Jays needed free agents to get over the hump (Springer, Gaussman) and the Orioles are stuck in limbo. You can’t win with only prospects.

Jeff Joiner
Editor
Legend
3 hours ago
Reply to  Awungsauce

While every free agent says they prioritize winning, they really prioritize money. But since most of the really good ones sign with clubs that spend lots of money they also get to win.

If I was a free agent and a team offered me a lot of money to help lead a group of young, talented players to the playoffs I’d probably take it. Especially if I could live at the beach and not have a ton of media to deal with.

Compared to now, that looks pretty good. As of now every free agent coming here has to know they are going to make money and only see October if they get traded or from their couch.

Awungsauce
Member
2 hours ago
Reply to  Jeff Joiner

Right now, most of the long contracts are by LA and the two NY teams (5 years+). Exceptions are Arizona (Corbin Burnes), SF (Adames), Toronto (Santander), and Seattle (Naylor). None of these teams went full rebuild. Teams that do stay there.

Turk's Teeth
Editor
Super Member
2 hours ago
Reply to  Awungsauce

I honestly doubt that any free agent will make any decisions based on how Mike Trout is used in his age 34 season. While Mike is still well-respected around the league, his chronic injuries are well-understood, and his age-related decline tacitly so.

Free agents will be making decisions based on money received, the likelihood of their new team contending, and to a lesser extent, geography and family concerns.

Roy Hobbs
Super Member
6 hours ago

Nice job. Any sort of version of this would be nice. It’s likely there won’t be much 2027 so you roll into 2028 with players and money ready to go. 2026 would be tough as it would mean some suffering, but one year and a labor dispute would be all that separates us from something really exciting. Well done 71.

grichmanpoorman
Trusted Member
6 hours ago

[Wyatt Earp/Val Kilmer voice] “You’re right… I hate it.”

Philosopically: What’s the the point of trading cheap, controllable, proven MLB talent for cheap, controllable, unproven minor league talent? I like Bryce Ranier. I like him just fine. But he will most likely NOT be Zach Neto’s equal as an MLB regular, statistically-speaking, because more often than not, A/AA prospects in that Top 20-30 range do NOT become stars. Neto IS a borderline star. And controllable. So what does trading him get us, besides a couple extra years on the position’s FA window?

You are spectacularly correct about our prospect ranking. Trading our best young talent for prospects will absolutely make us leap up the rankings. But the corollary between prospect rankings and on-field success is hardly 1:1. We all know this. So it’s largely performative.

To Joiner’s point: A lot of money comes off the books in 2026. Trading Neto/Shanny/Soriano (combined 2026 salary < $4M yes?) actually has very little effect on that. I’d rather have them when we make that presumptive big free agent splash, instead of kicking the can down the alley. That’s a small-market trip. Tampa Bay shit. We can keep our nice things.

Last edited 6 hours ago by grichmanpoorman
Roy Hobbs
Super Member
6 hours ago

We’ll never be any good if we keep them and they are not cheap and controllable for very long. You have two choices, neither of which is completely palatable. You either tear it down or you spend 300M on payroll. neither is a guarantee for success but both provide possibilities.

grichmanpoorman
Trusted Member
6 hours ago
Reply to  Roy Hobbs

Um… yeah, they will be. Soriano is a FA in 2029. Neto in 2030. Shanny I’m guessing in 2031. If one of them becomes tradeable in the interim because of redundancy… still brings in a nice haul.

Jeff Joiner
Editor
Legend
6 hours ago

MLBTR’s arbitration estimates are:
Soriano $3.2 million
Neto: $4.1 million
Adell: $5.5 million
Schanuel is on his last year of minimum wage.

So in total they bring in $13.5 million. Replacing Schanny with another minimum wage guy does nothing to the bottom line, though.

They key question if you keep all of these guys is who do you extend and when? Neto should be the priority but Adell is only 2 years from free agency. Soriano has 3 years left but also a history of arm troubles.

I’m good with extending fan favorites who are good players but if we do we need to be able to add talent around them.

grichmanpoorman
Trusted Member
6 hours ago
Reply to  Jeff Joiner

Thanks for that… but $13.5 million is still cheap for that trio. Soriano’s not even a FA until 2029! No way we replace him at comparable cost in any way shape or form.

grichmanpoorman
Trusted Member
5 hours ago
Reply to  Fansince1971

Don’t get me wrong… having Jenkins in the org would be exciting. But having Neto is also exciting. And he’s had two 5 WAR seasons in a row. Making peanuts (by MLB standards). He’s 24! Weird we’re even having this convo (I say that with irony… it’s fun).

AngelsFanInHell
Trusted Member
7 hours ago

I love your trades, especially Moore, Neto and Soriano. I can easily live with the others.

Jim Atkins
Super Member
7 hours ago

Massive reset is just what this team needs. How many times has the front office half-assed the off season trying to improve the team without “affecting team chemistry” or “upsetting the fan base”? If ever there was a case for MLB Thermonuclear Urban Renewal this is it. Of course the 20 megaton strategy extends to the front office and the ownership.

gitchogritchoffmypettis
Legend

I heart this with all my heart meat….

Jeff Joiner
Editor
Legend
8 hours ago

Waited to read this until it was published and glad I did. Love this and would personally be on board with it.

I think you undersold yourself, however, by failing to mention the entire $49 million you spent comes off the books after 2026 along with Rendon’s $38 million anchor and Stephenson’s $11 million.

In this scenario you roll into 2027 with a pipeline of young talent starting to crack the Major Leagues and $98,000,000 in payroll freed up with Kikuchi’s $21 million in its final year.

Pull off the Twins and Reds trades in the top 2 scenarios, add the Tigers trade, keep every prospect we have, and add two drafts and this could be a massive reset.

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